PQ still leads in Quebec but the CAQ’s slide has reversed, new poll suggests

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After months of seeing his party’s popularity slide in Quebec, Premier François Legault got some good news this week as the Coalition Avenir Québec gained three points in the latest Léger poll for TVA-Journal de Montréal to sit at 25 per cent, seven points behind the first-place Parti Québécois.

And while the PQ, which holds just four of the 125 seats in the National Assembly compared with the CAQ’s 89, still enjoys a healthy lead in the survey, its 32-per-cent showing this month is unchanged from May, suggesting the party’s ascent may have peaked.

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The battle between the PQ and the CAQ for the support of francophone voters is not as close, with the PQ enjoying 40 per cent popularity with the crucial demographic compared with 29 per cent for the CAQ. The Quebec Liberal Party, which saw its overall support with voters drop two points to a third-place finish of 15 per cent, scored a mere six per cent with francophones.

Québec solidaire, still reeling from internal bickering over the party’s future, gained two points this month to hold fourth place with 14 per cent, while the Conservative Party of Quebec dropped two points to sit at 10 per cent.

The PQ’s performance continues to be at odds with Quebecers’ support for sovereignty, the PQ’s raison d’être, with 35 per cent supporting the prospect of independence and 54 per cent opposed.

However, at 26 per cent, the perception of PQ Leader Paul St. Pierre Plamondon as best premier remains six points ahead of Legault, who is now less popular than his own party.

The PQ is also challenging Québec solidaire’s claim to be the party of Quebec’s youth, polling 27 per cent among voters between the ages of 18 and 34, just two points behind Québec solidaire.

Overall satisfaction with the Legault government stood at 33 per cent, unchanged from last month, while the level of dissatisfaction dropped three points to 59 per cent.

The online survey of 1,015 Quebec adults was conducted May 31 to June 3. The margin of error for a sampling of this size is plus or minus 3.08 per cent 19 times out of 20.

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